Texas Holdem Flop Statistics

In the post Flop texture I discussed one view of flop texture, which is to divide flops into dry boards or wet boards, dependent on the composition of the three cards. In this post, I shall discuss another approach, which concentrates on suitedness and connectedness. In this post, I will be referring to the groups in Hand Rankings and Strengths.

It is almost a truism to say that previously strong pre-flop pocket cards can turn into a mediocre or trash combination dependent on the flop, and previously mediocre or possibly trash pocket cards can be transformed into strong or even monster hands dependent on the flop. Since we are considering playing online poker, and hands move at a fast clip, we need a way to quickly evaluate the flop, to determine whether or not to fold, or to continue to bet on the turn, the river, and eventually to participate in the showdown.

As always, it is important to consider the other players’ pre-flop betting or calling activity in the light of a dry flop. Anyone who called or raised pre-flop and was presented with the second flop, would be unlikely to have a winning hand, and a Group 5 pocket pair like 7 ♣ 7 ♠, or even an unwise K ♡ 7 ♣ might be a winner. Understanding Probability In Texas Holdem Is An Essential Aspect Of Profitable Play - Pre-Flop Probability Starting Guide Here! Pre-Flop Poker Probability Statistics - Chances Dealt AA Aces Sunday, 13.

Firstly, we ask how many cards of the same suit does the board have. Is a flush draw possible? There is a better chance if all three cards are of the same suit; if you have two cards of a matching suit you have a made flush, if you have one card of a matching suit, you need only match on the turn or the river to turn the hand into a made flush. If there are two cards of the same suit, and you have one or two cards of a matching suit, then help from the turn or river is required, but it’s possible to turn your hand into a made flush.

Next, we ask how many connected cards does the board have. If the three cards are all connected there is a good chance of a straight draw, and you might even have a made straight draw with your own pocket cards. If two cards are connected and there is a one-gap or two-gap in the other card, you may need only one matching card, and assistance from the turn or the river to make a made straight draw.

Playing The Flop. Betting Rounds: Before The Flop: Flop: Flop Hands: Turn: River. So you have made it to the flop with what you thought was a decent hand, but you are a little unsure of how to play from here on out. You need some good strategy for playing the flop in Texas Hold'em. Because the chances of a higher card showing up on the flop is at 52%. It’s all about the kicker If your pair matches your opponent’s pair but your kicker is weaker, you will win 1/4 of the time, or 24%. There are 22,100 different flops in Texas Hold’em. For each combination of hole cards you are holding there are 19,600 different flops. There are 52 cards in a Texas Hold’em deck and a flop consists of 3 cards. There are different ways to deal 3 cards and that’s the total number of possible flops in Texas Hold’em.

Finally, we ask how many face cards does the board have, and how many pairs, preferably high pairs there are. If you are playing a disciplined game, and restricting your pocket cards to Groups 1 to 3 in early position, and Groups 4 and 5 in late position, face cards in the flop are more attractive because most players will play through to the flop holding face cards, in the hopes of making a two pair, a trip, a full house, or even four of a kind.

Rainbow flops

By way of definition, a rainbow flop is a flop where all cards are of a different suit, so no flush draws are possible. If you have two suited matching cards, then a backdoor flush draw, with help from the turn and the river have a very low probability of occurring.

Most rainbow flops are where there is one high card, or where the flop is all rags, which are cards with a denomination of 8 and under. An example of a rainbow flop with one high card is:


Texas Holdem Flop Statistics Cheat

With this flop, the best pocket cards are K9s (a Group 6 hand, so really only playable through to the flop in late position) making a two pair, or any King with a high kicker for a top pair.

Another rainbow flop, which is all rags, is:


Here, pretty much any two pair hand would be advantageous, but a Group 4 hand 88 would make a trip, and it’s unlikely one would bet a Group 7 hand 44 or 22 through to the flop to make the lower trips.

2-suited flops

A 2-suited flop contains two cards of the same suit. For example:


A flush draw, which means you if have a Group 2 AJ ♢ or Group 4 T9 ♢, you have a good chance to make a flush draw on the turn or the river, and should bet through to the showdown. A single high-value matching card, such as A ♢, or K ♢, might lead to a back door flush draw, but would need a matching ? ♢ on both turn and river, which is a low probability outcome.

3-suited flops

A 3-suited flop is where all the cards are of the same suit. For example:


If you have two matching pocket cards, such as Group 3 QJ ♢ or A10 ♢, you effectively have the nut flush and should play aggressively all the way to the showdown, because you are hardly likely to be beaten. However, you need to beware Group 6 K9s or K9 because a K or 9 on the turn and the river will make a full house. This is an unlikely, but possible, outcome and needs to be accounted for.

2-connected flops

Texas holdem flop statistics rulesTexas Holdem Flop Statistics

This type of flop makes it possible to make a straight draw, and because players prefer to play connected pocket pairs, and a two pair is also more likely. For example:


This is a rainbow flop and an open-ended straight draw is possible, with a one in three chance of a straight. So a Group 4 KQ requires an A or 9 to make a straight on the turn or the river, and a Group 4 98s requires a Q or a 7 on the turn or river to make a straight draw.

3-connected flops

A 3-connected flop makes it possible for a player to have a made straight. For example:


Here, a Group 2 KQs or a Group 4 KQ are required to have a made straight, but note also, a Group 5 87s or Group 8 87. The danger of playing the lower end pocket cards is you might be outplayed by the high-end pocket cards. It’s also possible to play Group 1 QQ or Group 4 88 and rely on the turn or river cards to make a straight.

High pair flops

A dangerous flop is a high pair flop. Most players will bet through to the flop on high pocket cards. For example:


A Group 1 JJs will result in four of a kind, a Group 3 KJs will result in a full house, a Group 2 KQs or Group 4 KQ will result in a two pair. The danger with playing a high pair is other players, playing through to the flop with their high pocket cards, may outplay you despite holding strong pocket cards yourself. Dangerous territory, indeed.

Low pair flops

The danger for a playing encountering a low pair flop is from other loose aggressive or loose passive players. For example:


it is likely that a tight aggressive player will fold any hand containing a 4. But loose players might likely play a hand containing a 4 for a trip, or a 9 for a two pair. However, any top pair is a viable combination for a two pair or full house, with assistance from the turn or the river.

High cards only

Where there are high cards only, such as:

Cheat

Texas Holdem Flop Statistics 2019

invites participation from a player playing Group 1 to Group 3 hands. Caution must be exercised because other players playing to the flop may have similarly strong hands, so it is necessary to observe other players’ betting patterns to determine whether to continue. So a Group 3 QJs or Group 5 QJ will be a straight, a Group 1 AA or KK, Group 2 TT will be a trip. Other winning combinations will be possible with assistance from the turn or river, but that’s another story.

In this post, I have covered another approach to evaluating the flop, by breaking it down into suitedness and connectedness, with other considerations, such as the rainbow flop and flops with pairs, along the way.

Poker can be a fun card game for the family, or a serious competitive game in which the steaks can be so enormous, even selling your house wouldn’t cover the costs.

There are many variations of poker, with Texas Hold ‘Em being the most popular worldwide.

Below are a whole bunch of poker facts and statistics which help you understand the chances of wining and the odds of getting the cards you want.

Did You Know?

A pocket pair is cards of the same rank, which means if your two cards have the same number, from 2-2 all the way up to A-A, this is called a pocket pair.

  • The odds of receiving any pocket pair is 5.9% which is 16 to 1. These are also the same odds of receiving a pocket pair of 2’s.
  • The odds of receiving a specific pocket pair: 0.45% or 220 to 1 These are the same odds for receiving a pocket pair of A’s.
  • The odds of receiving a pocket pair of A’s twice in a row is 0.002047% or 48,840 to 1.
  • The odds of receiving a pocket pair of K’s is 0.9% which is 220 to 1.
  • The odds of receiving a pocket pair of Q’s is 1.4% which is 73 to 1.
  • The odds of receiving a pocket pair of J’s is 1.8% which is 54 to 1.
  • The odds of receiving a pocket pair of 10’s is 2.3% which is 43 to 1.
  • The odds of receiving a pocket pair of 9’s is 2.7% which is 36 to 1.
  • The odds of receiving a pocket pair of 8’s is 3.2 which is 31 to 1.
  • The odds of receiving a pocket pair of 7’s is 3.6% which is 27 to 1.
  • The odds of receiving a pocket pair of 6’s is 4.1% which is 24 to 1.
  • The odds of receiving a pocket pair of 5’s is 4.5% which is 21 to 1.
  • The odds of receiving a pocket pair of 4’s is 5.0% which is 19 to 1.
  • The odds of receiving a pocket pair of 3’s is 5.4% which is 17 to 1.

Poker Fast Facts

The total number of possible royal flush hands in a standard 52 card deck is 4.

Texas Holdem Flop Statistics Rules

And the odds of making a royal flush is 649,739 to 1.

This is correct assuming that every game plays to the river.

In poker terms, the river is the name for the fifth card dealt, face-up on the board.

In total, there are 2,598,960 possible poker hands with 52 cards.

The odds of getting four of a kind in Texas Hold ‘Em is 4164 to 1.

Casinos normally change decks after 15 minutes of steady play, so that the cards can always be fresh and unmarked, as many professional players would be able to remember the certain markings on cards and use that to their advantage.

This is only a basic overview of poker odds, there are many calculators online that can help solve the odds of getting certain hands, depending on what stage of the game you’re at, what cards you currently hold and how many people are playing.

Now you are familiar with these odds, you can use them to your advantage for a better poker strategy when you finally decided to play a tournament.

Texas Holdem Flop Statistics 2020

In Texas Hold-Em Poker the odds of making a royal flush hand is only 649,739 to 1.